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You are here: Home / Archives for editorial

editorial

NBN Co Unveils LEO Wholesale Pricing to Protect Market Share from Starlink

February 19, 2026 by editorial

SYDNEY — In a statement released Thursday, February 19, 2026, NBN Co launched an industry consultation on wholesale pricing for its upcoming residential Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite service, powered by Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper).

Ellie Sweeney, CEO of NBN Co

The move is a strategic attempt to lock in regional customers before a full-scale migration from the aging Sky Muster geostationary (GEO) fleet begins later this year.

The government-owned wholesaler is proposing an aggressive “introductory” price tier for existing satellite customers who upgrade early. Under the proposal, a new 50/10 Mbps LEO plan would be offered to retailers at a wholesale price of $35.84 per month—a rate designed to be equal to or lower than current Sky Muster Plus pricing.

Strategic Migration and “Amazon Leo” Integration

The partnership with Amazon, first announced in August 2025, positions NBN Co to compete directly with SpaceX’s Starlink, which currently dominates the Australian LEO market. Key parameters of the transition include:

  • Consolidated Tiers: NBN Co plans to fold its existing 12/1 Mbps and 25/5 Mbps Sky Muster tiers into a single 50/10 Mbps LEO-based service.
  • Hardware Incentives: To accelerate the shift, NBN Co is proposing to provide and install the new Amazon Leo receiving equipment at no cost to eligible existing customers.
  • Footprint: The service is expected to cover approximately 300,000 users in regional, rural, and remote Australia who lack access to fixed-line or fixed-wireless infrastructure.

Technical Performance and Resilience

The shift to Amazon Leo’s LEO constellation—which currently has more than 150 satellites in orbit and is scaling toward a 3,200-satellite mesh network—will provide significantly lower latency compared to the 600ms+ delay inherent in GEO satellites.

“We want all eligible customers, delivery partners and regional communities to be ready for a smooth transition,” said Gavin Williams, NBN Co Chief Development Officer, Regional & Remote. He noted that the LEO service is designed to deliver “city-fast” broadband to the most remote areas of the continent.

Timeline to 2030

NBN Co has established a multi-year roadmap for the complete decommissioning of its legacy satellite infrastructure.

  1. July – September 2026: Proof-of-concept trials are scheduled to begin in Tasmania.
  2. Q4 2026: Expected commencement of the full commercial rollout.
  3. Q4 2027: Deadline for the bulk of customer migrations to the LEO network.
  4. 2028 – 2030: Decommissioning of the two Sky Muster geostationary satellites, which are projected to reach end-of-life by the early 2030s.

Ellie Sweeney, CEO of NBN Co, emphasized that this transition is critical to ensuring the network remains “future-ready” and resilient. While Sky Muster will continue to operate until at least 2028 to ensure continuity, the company is already exploring options for the legacy assets once the transition to Amazon’s LEO network is finalized.

Filed Under: News

MTN Authorized to Provide SpaceX Government Satellite Connectivity

February 18, 2026 by editorial

FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — In a statement released Wednesday, February 18, 2026, MTN Satellite Communications (MTN) announced it has reached an agreement with SpaceX to become an authorized provider of SpaceX’s government-specific satellite connectivity ecosystem.

The agreement allows MTN to integrate SpaceX’s specialized government Low Earth Orbit (LEO) constellation—distinct from the standard commercial Starlink service—into its managed network offerings. This ecosystem is designed to meet the high-assurance security and resiliency requirements of defense, government, and energy sector clients.

Government-Grade Specifications and Hardware

Under the terms of the deal, MTN will deploy specialized user equipment tailored for military use cases, including secure Command and Control (C2) and Earth Observation. Key technical differentiators of the government-focused service include:

  • High-Assurance Cryptography: Security protocols designed for classified operations and sensitive data processing that exceed standard commercial encryption.
  • Proliferated LEO Architecture: Utilization of SpaceX’s densified constellation to ensure signal redundancy and resilience for mobile platforms in contested environments.
  • Ruggedized Deployment: MTN is launching a specialized version of its MTN Rugged Mini Kit, an all-in-one portable deployment system modified specifically for field-based government operations.

Executive Perspective

“The addition of this government-focused ecosystem from SpaceX is a crucial differentiator for MTN,” said Scott Davis, President and CEO of MTN Government Solutions. “Our aerospace, defense and government clients demand connectivity that is not just fast and global, but 100% secure and highly resilient. This move enables us to deliver communications with the highest assurance levels, perfectly complementing our existing Starlink-based commercial solutions.”

Immediate Rollout and Integration

The new services are being integrated immediately into MTN’s existing government and defense portfolio. This rollout follows the recent launch of MTN’s StarEdge Horizon, a Layer 2-based private network. While StarEdge Horizon manages enterprise traffic over commercial Starlink, this new SpaceX agreement provides the military-grade hardware and orbital priority required for mission-critical continuity at sea or in remote terrestrial sites.

Filed Under: News

SpaceX Unveils ‘Stargaze’ System to Revolutionize Space Traffic Management

February 18, 2026 by editorial

Addressing the critical challenge of increasing orbital congestion, SpaceX has officially unveiled “Stargaze,” a novel Space Situational Awareness (SSA) system designed to enhance the safety of the low Earth orbit (LEO) environment.

Stargaze utilizes the existing hardware on the Starlink constellation to track thousands of objects in near real-time, offering a significant upgrade over traditional ground-based radar systems.

A New Approach to Orbital Monitoring

Traditional Space Situational Awareness (SSA) relies heavily on ground-based sensors that observe satellites only a few times per day, often leading to large uncertainties in orbital predictions. By contrast, Stargaze leverages the nearly 30,000 star trackers distributed across the Starlink fleet. These sensors, originally designed for satellite orientation, now perform continuous observations of nearby objects, detecting approximately 30 million transits daily. This creates a dense, constantly refreshed map of LEO activity, allowing for the identification of potential collisions within minutes rather than hours.

Technical Performance and Collision Avoidance

The Stargaze platform autonomously aggregates observations to generate precise orbit estimates and predictions. A key feature is the generation of Conjunction Data Messages (CDMs) at a frequency previously unattainable in the industry.

  • Detection Frequency: 30 million transits per day across the fleet.
  • Latency: Conjunction screening results delivered within minutes.
  • Maneuver Detection: The system can identify uncoordinated maneuvers by third-party satellites—a capability demonstrated in late 2025 when Stargaze allowed a Starlink satellite to avoid a collision with an uncooperative spacecraft with only five hours’ notice.
  • Data Sharing: SpaceX is offering these screening results free of charge to any operator that submits its own ephemeris (trajectory) data to the platform.

Rationale: Mitigating the Risk of Orbital Debris

The launch of Stargaze comes as LEO becomes increasingly crowded with active satellites, spent rocket stages, and orbital debris. Irresponsible practices, such as anti-satellite tests or failing to share trajectory predictions, have heightened the risk of the Kessler Syndrome—a chain reaction of collisions. By providing a transparent, low-latency data layer, SpaceX aims to motivate other operators toward collaborative flight safety and more rigorous de-confliction.

Filed Under: News

New Survey Highlights Shift from Leisure to Professional Mobile Starlink Use

February 17, 2026 by editorial

Targeting the growing gap in data regarding on-the-go satellite internet usage, TRIO Flatmount released its 2026 Mobile Starlink Survey on February 17. The report, which compiled data from approximately 600 users, indicates a significant pivot in how mobile satellite terminals are utilized, moving away from purely recreational use toward essential income generation.

Shifting Demographics and Use Cases

The survey found that nearly half of respondents (47%) now depend on mobile connectivity for remote work or professional income. While leisure use remains a factor, the professionalization of mobile connectivity is the primary driver for recent hardware adoption.

The most common deployment environments for these mobile users include:

  • Recreational Vehicles (RVs): 37%
  • Marine Vessels: 15%
  • Van Builds: 11%
  • Passenger Vehicles: 10%

Geographic and Economic Factors

Geographically, the Western and Southern United States account for the majority of users (55%). However, a significant international presence is emerging, with 25% of respondents residing in Canada, Australia, Europe, or operating at sea.

One of the most striking findings in the 2026 data is the inelasticity of price regarding hardware and service. According to the report, 85% of respondents stated that price was not a primary factor in their purchasing decision. This suggests that reliability and the ability to maintain “office-like” connectivity in remote regions outweigh the cost of equipment and monthly subscriptions for the majority of the mobile workforce.

Rationale for Specialized Hardware

The surge in professional use has increased the demand for ruggedized, in-motion mounting solutions. Users cite the need for “park-and-play” or “drive-and-play” capabilities as essential to meeting work deadlines while traveling. This data aligns with the broader industry trend of Low Earth Orbit (LEO) constellations becoming the primary infrastructure for the global “digital nomad” economy.

Comparative Service Utilization: Land vs. Marine

Additional analysis reveals a stark contrast in service plan preferences between maritime and land-based users, driven primarily by geographic restrictions and data priority requirements.

The survey data indicates that while land-based users (RVs at 37%, Van builds at 11%) predominantly utilize the Roam Unlimited plan ($165/mo), maritime users (15%) are increasingly opting for Global Priority tiers despite significantly higher costs. This disparity is tied to Starlink’s “Ocean Mode” requirements, which mandate metered priority data for vessels operating beyond territorial waters.

Economic Disparity in Service Plans:

  • Land-Based Mobile: $165/month for unlimited “Best Effort” data.
  • Maritime/Coastal: Starts at $250/month for 50GB of “Global Priority” data.
  • High-Demand Marine: Scales to $2,150/month for 2TB of priority data.

Rationale for High-Cost Adoption

The finding that 85% of users do not view price as a primary factor is particularly evident in the maritime sector. For the 47% of respondents who depend on Starlink for remote income, the “Global Priority” plan is viewed as a business necessity rather than a luxury. Marine users reported a higher willingness to pay for “Priority Data” to ensure sub-second latency for video conferencing and cloud-based applications, which are often throttled on the standard land-based Roam plans during peak congestion.

Outlook for 2026 Infrastructure

The survey coincides with Starlink’s 2026 service upgrades, which introduce the “Performance Kit” capable of 400+ Mbps. TRIO’s data suggests that as mobile connectivity evolves, the market is splitting into two distinct tiers: recreational “Roam” users and professional “Priority” users, with the latter group driving the demand for specialized flatmount hardware to support in-motion operations.

Filed Under: News

Kepler Communications Names NanoAvionics as Preferred European Bus Provider for Optical Relay Missions

February 17, 2026 by editorial

On February 17, 2026, Kepler Communications announced the selection of Kongsberg NanoAvionics (“NanoAvionics”) as its preferred European satellite bus provider for upcoming hosted payload initiatives.

The partnership targets spacecraft with a mass of up to 500kg and focuses on integrating NanoAvionics’ platforms with The Kepler Network to provide satellite operators with real-time optical connectivity and on-orbit compute services.

Strategic Alignment and The Kepler Network

The agreement follows the successful SpaceX ‘Twilight’ mission on January 11, 2026, which deployed the first tranche of Kepler’s optical relay satellites. This partnership aims to simplify the adoption of optical communications by utilizing U.S. Space Development Agency (SDA) standards for secure, interoperable data transfer. Under the terms of the deal, NanoAvionics will offer Kepler’s optical data relay and edge computing services as an optional feature within its portfolio of inter-satellite link solutions.

Technical Specifications for Optical Inter-Satellite Links

The collaboration will initially focus on the MP42 microsatellite platform before expanding to NanoAvionics’ CubeSat lines. Key performance metrics for the integrated systems include:

  • Throughput: Connectivity speeds of up to 2.5 Gbps.
  • Latency: Near-real-time, sub-second data transport.
  • Data Volume: Capacity to handle terabytes of data per day.
  • Interoperability: Full alignment with SDA optical communication terminal standards.

Executive Commentary

“NanoAvionics has earned a reputation for being one of the most reliable bus providers, helping customers with demanding mission requirements scale quickly and with confidence,” said Mina Mitry, CEO and Co-Founder of Kepler Communications. “By integrating our optical network and on-orbit compute services with NanoAvionics’ platforms, we are enabling the transformation of space from a store-and-forward model to a responsive environment.“

Atle Wøllo, CEO of NanoAvionics, added: “Through this cooperation with Kepler, we are positioning NanoAvionics at the forefront of the industry’s adoption of optical communications. This industry-wide move can provide an exponential boost for sovereign national security missions and for commercial operators serving time-sensitive data.“

Timeline for Initial Operating Capability

The partnership comes as Kepler moves toward Initial Operating Capability (IOC) for its optical network in early 2026. As the network scales to 100 Gbps-class capacity with future tranches, NanoAvionics is positioned for priority access to these higher data rates. The combined offering is designed to meet the increasing demand for high-bandwidth, low-latency communications and on-orbit edge processing, allowing operators to run artificial intelligence and machine learning models directly in space.

Filed Under: Featured, News

The Hybrid Architecture Is No Longer Theoretical

February 12, 2026 by editorial

By Abbey White, Staff Writer, SatNews

Dispatch from SmallSat Symposium. Coverage and analysis from across the conference, tracking the forces shaping the next phase of the SmallSat market.

MOUNTAIN VIEW — If there was any doubt that the center of gravity in the commercial space sector has shifted from venture capital speculation to kinetic necessity, that doubt was shattered by the final session, Smallsats at the Tactical Edge – Hybrid ISR and Defense Integration. SmallSat Symposium this year was no longer about democratization for the sake of access. It is about survival, deterrence, and the industrialization of the kill chain.

The session’s panelists—representing the bleeding edge of propulsion, sensing, and compute—made one thing clear: Any distinction between a commercial satellite and a military asset has effectively evaporated.

The Department of War Reality

The rhetorical shift was immediate and jarring. Throughout the session, speakers abandoned the polite euphemism of defense in favor of a blunter reality.

“The Department of War? Doesn’t just roll off the tongue,” Impulse Space President Eric Romo remarked, acknowledging the strange bedfellows of Silicon Valley innovation and lethal force. Yet Romo admitted that the Pentagon is where the industry’s traction lies. This is not a reluctant partnership, but a necessary fusion driven by the Space Development Agency and its spiral development cycles, which have forced a terrifying pace on an industry used to moving slow.

The mandate is integration prior to crisis. Gone are the days when commercial space acted merely as a break-glass emergency backup for bandwidth surges. Commercial sensors are now weaving inextricably into the operational fabric before the first shot is fired.

Decision Superiority, Not Just Data

The panel dismantled the legacy obsession with resolution and bandwidth. In a contested environment, a pretty picture is useless if it arrives twenty minutes late. The new currency is latency.

Mark Gombo of HawkEye 360, a former Marine electronic warfare officer, cut through the technical noise. “I submit that it’s more about decision superiority,” Gombo argued. “It is the decision space to understand what’s going on.”

This aligns perfectly with the tactical realities seen in Ukraine and Gaza, where commercial signals are jammed and logistics chains are hunted by AI-enabled sensors. The objective is no longer to hoard terabytes of data, but to deliver a target track to a weapon system.

Jonny Dyer, CEO of Muon Space, reinforced this urgency, noting that whether tracking wildfires for first responders or missile trucks for the SDA, the requirement is identical: “We really have to rethink how we architect a lot of these core systems to enable what I think is really ultimately a latency driven requirement.”

The Friction of Space Compute

Despite the unity on mission, the panel fractured over the how. A sharp disagreement emerged regarding the role of edge computing and specifically whether to process data on the satellite or on the ground.

Jeff Janicik, CEO of Innoflight, championed the need for trusted, high-assurance on-orbit computing. To close the latency gap, he stipulated, the decision loop must move to space. “We all know that we can, if we can take the decision making and all the data collection and data fusion that is currently happening on the ground, bring it into the space,” Janicik claimed. The barrier is not the processor, he emphasized, but the trust required to let an AI make a decision that could trigger a kinetic effect.

Dyer was less convinced. In a moment of refreshing candor that typified the session, he pushed back against the industry obsession with putting data centers in orbit.

“I might be the outlier on this panel, but I just don’t think space compute’s that interesting of an idea,” Dyer said. “Ultimately, we shouldn’t care where processing is being done.”

Dyer’s skepticism highlights a critical engineering tension. Launching high-power GPUs into orbit creates massive thermal management headaches, a point reinforced by research on Andy Kwas’s work at Northrop Grumman. If the communications link is fat enough, processing on the ground is cheaper and easier. The satellites, Dyer argued, should look like a data center rack, but the software must be agnostic.

The Debris Euphemism

The most telling exchange occurred when moderator Andy Kwas raised the topic of debris removal and the recent DIU solicitation for de-orbiting unprepared satellites. In the polite society of civil space, this is an environmental discussion. In the context of a hybrid space war, it is a discussion about clearing lanes and neutralizing threats.

Romo stripped away the pretense entirely, asking the room, “Does anybody actually believe that that’s about space debris?”

The laughter was nervous but knowing. Janicik concurred, noting that right now the Department of War would be more focused on fighting through it.

The implication is heavy. Technologies developed for active debris removal are dual-use. If you can grab a dead satellite to de-orbit it, then you can grab a live adversary satellite to disable it. The industry is building ASAT capabilities under the guise of environmental stewardship, and everyone in the room knows it.

Are We Actually Ahead?

For all the bravado about American innovation, the panel ended on a note of strategic anxiety. When asked if the United States maintains superiority over peer adversaries, the answers were mixed.

Gombo was confident: “Absolutely.”

Romo, conversely, pointed to the lack of situational awareness in higher orbits, specifically Geostationary Orbit where critical national assets reside.

“I’m not so sure that—for battlefield awareness in the battlefield of GEO and probably MEO as well—that we actually are ahead,” Romo warned. He cited Chinese RPO-capable spacecraft performing inspection loops around U.S. assets with little public response.

The Bottom Line

The SmallSat Symposium has evolved. The New Space optimism of the past decade has hardened into a cold, pragmatic focus on national security. The validated gaps are lethal, the customers are wearing uniforms, and the companies that survive will not be the ones with the best PowerPoint slides. They will be the ones that can plug directly into a classified network and help a commander win a fight.

As Gombo bluntly advised the room: “If you bring me a capability that’s not on my gap list, you’re just bringing me another rock. And I don’t need any more rocks.”

Filed Under: Featured, News

SmallSat Launch Prices Rise as Competitors Stall on the Pad

February 12, 2026 by editorial

By Abbey White, Staff Writer, SatNews

Dispatch from SmallSat Symposium. Coverage and analysis from across the conference, tracking the forces shaping the next phase of the SmallSat market.

MOUNTAIN VIEW. The era of cheap, plentiful, and diverse access to space was supposed to be here by now. Instead, the industry arrived at the 2026 SmallSat Symposium only to find itself trapped in a bottleneck of its own making.

During the Small Payloads, Large Upmass session, the polite veneer of industry camaraderie barely concealed the tension in the room. The narrative of a vibrant, multi-provider marketplace has collapsed. In its place sits a single, dominant provider, SpaceX, flanked by a long line of customers paying premium rates to stand in line. While panelists from Rocket Lab, Stoke Space, and European challengers like Isar Aerospace and PLD Space offered visions of a diverse future, the audience is living in a present defined by scarcity.

The Aggregator is the New Gatekeeper

The most telling dynamic onstage was not between the rocket builders but rather centered on the empty chair left by the neutral broker. With the dissolution of Spaceflight Inc.’s independent brokerage model, Exolaunch has emerged as the primary funnel for the industry’s volume.

Kier Fortier, Chief Revenue Officer at Exolaunch, did not shy away from the congestion defining the current market. The days of simply booking a slot and flying are over; operators must now plan for delays as a fundamental business condition.

Fortier stated, “I do think rebooking now is just the baseline expectation to salvage your launch budget.”

This admission signals a profound shift. Launch is no longer a commodity you buy, but a probability you manage. The consolidation of demand onto SpaceX Transporter missions has created waitlists. Fortier noted that despite the high flight rates, “There are folks eager to get up on orbit, and there is some scarcity there.”

The Paper Rocket Problem

This scarcity stems from the simple fact that the challengers are late. Rocket Lab’s Neutron was originally promised for 2024, yet it is now targeting mid-to-late 2026. Brian Rogers, Rocket Lab’s Vice President of Global Launch Services, framed this delay as a necessary hurdle of scaling.

Rogers argued, “Building your first rocket is ridiculously hard. Building your next 10 at rate is actually way harder.”

While Rogers is correct, the market is unforgiving. Every month Neutron remains on the ground is a month where mega-constellations sign long-term contracts with SpaceX’s Falcon 9. The session moderator, Curt Blake, former CEO of Spaceflight, pressed the panel on the risks of a monopoly trap.

Devon Papandrew, VP of Business Development at Stoke Space, addressed the monopoly question head-on. He dismissed the idea that SpaceX’s dominance is accidental or unfair, attributing it instead to technical superiority that others failed to match in time.

“Why is SpaceX a monopoly today?” Papandrew asked, then answered, “They created a step change in capability that unlocked higher cadence and lower cost.”

Stoke Space is betting $510 million that partial reusability is a dead end. Papandrew contended that the only way to break the current pricing floor, now rising toward $6,500/kg, is full reusability.

“If you look what SpaceX has done with Falcon, it’s amazing,” Papandrew said. “But if you ask them what constrains their flight rate, it’s production of the upper stage.”

The Sovereign Illusion

For the European representatives, the challenge is existential. Isar Aerospace, PLD Space, and Avio are fighting for a slice of the market that isn’t captive to U.S. dominance. Yet their value proposition relies heavily on the sovereignty premium—the idea that European institutions will pay more to fly European.

Francesco Sgarbossa, Sales Director for Avio, was refreshingly blunt about the limitations of European cadence compared to the American juggernaut.

“We are aiming at six, which sounds like a very low number when you think about it when you see SpaceX launching 160 times,” Sgarbossa admitted. “But even going from four to six is a 50% increase and that requires huge investments.”

This is the cold math of the 2026 launch market. A 50% increase for Avio is a rounding error for SpaceX. Daniele Dallari of PLD Space tried to reframe the conversation away from mass commoditization, questioning the industry’s obsession with replicating the SpaceX Transporter model.

Dallari asked, “Do we need another Transporter program? Does the market really need another Transporter program?”

The market’s answer, evidenced by the rising prices and full manifests on Falcon 9, appears to be yes. Operators want reliability and low cost. They are less concerned with the bespoke orbital insertions Dallari’s Miura 5 might offer if the price tag is double that of a rideshare slot.

The Ancient Game of Launch Chicken

The friction between satellite readiness and rocket availability remains the industry’s favorite scapegoat. Brian Rogers described the constant shuffling of manifests as a necessary evil.

“We’re no strangers to the ancient game of launch chicken,” Rogers said. “Spacecraft can be late. And that can be a problem when you’re trying to plan a manifest.”

But in 2026, the chicken has come home to roost. The delays are no longer just about spacecraft. The launch vehicles themselves are the bottleneck. The regulatory environment has tightened, and the FAA licensing backlog is real. The flexible slotting discussed by the panel is merely a band-aid for a lack of capacity.

“You got to launch”

The dream of a dozen thriving small launch providers competing on price has faded. The reality is a barbell market: a massive, efficient monopoly on one end, and a collection of hopeful, delayed challengers on the other.

Until Neutron flies, Stoke reaches orbit, and the European launchers prove they can hit a cadence higher than single digits, the SmallSat customer has no real leverage. They will pay the $6,500/kg, they will sign the multi-launch agreements, and they will thank Exolaunch for the privilege of a slot.

As the session concluded, the applause felt less like a celebration of innovation and more like relief that the status quo, however expensive, is at least a known and predictable factor. Curt Blake ended the panel by asking about the challenge to survive. Brian Rogers offered the only advice that matters in an industry choked by promises.

“You got to launch.”

Filed Under: Featured, News

D2D’s Hype Hangover: The Physics Finally Bite Back

February 11, 2026 by editorial

By Abbey White, Staff Writer, SatNews

Dispatch from SmallSat Symposium. Coverage and analysis from across the conference, tracking the forces shaping the next phase of the SmallSat market.

MOUNTAIN VIEW. The free drinks at SmallSat Symposium usually signal a celebration, but this year they feel more like a necessity. If 2024 was the year of the press release, early 2026 is the year of the hangover. Breathless promises of ubiquitous, high-speed connectivity from space have collided with a formidable wall of physics, finance, and federal regulation.

The mood inside the Computer History Museum is no longer defined by the novelty of connecting a smartphone to a satellite. That magic trick has been performed. Now, as the industry gathers for the session Cracking the D2D Code: Engineering Solutions to Power, Doppler & Spectrum Locks, the conversation shifts to a brutal realization. Making it work once is science, but making it pay is a nightmare.

Presiding over this reality check was Dr. Tim Farrar of TMF Associates, the industry’s designated contrarian. The panel’s title promised engineering solutions, but the subtext was an admission that the easy part (sending a text message) is done. The hard part (voice and broadband) is stuck in what engineers call a spectrum lock and what investors might soon call a money pit.

The Space Heater Problem

The central tension in the room is the battle between proprietary systems like Starlink, which attempt to muscle through terrestrial spectrum, and standards-based players like Iridium and Skylo who advocate for playing by the rules of physics.

Greg Pelton, CTO of Iridium, did not mince words about the inefficiency of trying to deliver service without dedicated global spectrum. He described the absurdity of Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites flying over countries where they lack landing rights, effectively turning expensive hardware into orbiting junk for half their orbit.

“You’ve got this massive space heater running across the sky,” Pelton said. “Now I’m over this piece of land for 15 or 30 minutes, I can offer service. Then I’m shut off again.”

It was a stark illustration of the regulatory handcuffs that bind so-called supplemental coverage strategies. If you cannot clear the spectrum globally, you cannot scale the business globally.

The Meat Filter

Beyond the regulatory headaches, the panel exposed the raw physical limitations of trying to close a link budget with a device that was never designed for space. The unmodified phone is the holy grail of the direct-to-device (D2D) market. To an RF engineer, however, it is a disaster.

Pelton highlighted the Power Lock facing the sector. He noted that while LEO satellites provide better look angles than their geostationary ancestors, they cannot change the fact that consumer hardware is inept at shouting 500 kilometers upwards.

“The antennas on cell phones are terrible,” Pelton argued. “And the ones on watches are even worse.”

He described the interference caused by the human body itself (the user holding the phone) as “a big meat filter” that the signal is going through. This biological barrier, combined with the lack of gain on standard smartphone antennas, suggests that the dream of high-bandwidth data might require hardware upgrades that consumers aren’t ready to buy.

The Billion-Dollar Question

This physical pushback leads inevitably to financial friction. The industry has spent billions launching constellations on the premise of a trillion-dollar connectivity market, yet the panelists were hesitant to validate those spreadsheets.

When pressed on the actual market size, responses were sobering. The days of forecasting infinite growth are over.

“Is it a $1 billion market globally, is it a $100 billion market globally?” Pelton asked. “We don’t know that yet, and we’re not going to know for a few more years.”

Farrar, never one to let a valuation bubble float by unpopped, twisted the knife. He pointed out the fundamental disconnect between the utility of the service and the willingness of the customer to pay for it. Emergency SOS, though valuable, is rarely monetizable as a standalone subscription.

“I love the fact that if I fall over and break my leg when I’m out hiking, I know I can get some help,” Farrar said. “But I’m not paying anything for it either.”

The Intel Inside Moment

Despite the gloom regarding consumer broadband, a quiet revolution is occurring in the supply chain. The merger of Cobham Satcom and Gatehouse Satcom represents a shift toward industrialization of the sector, moving away from bespoke science project architectures toward standardized infrastructure.

Jesper Noer, representing the newly merged entity, emphasized that the engineering solutions to Doppler shifts and timing advances are now commercial products (NodeBs in the sky) rather than proprietary secrets. But even he conceded that the industry needs to stop fighting over proprietary stacks.

“A dream scenario for me would if people stopped doing their proprietary technologies on top and really join forces on the standardization efforts,” Noer said.

The Verdict

The session concluded not with a roadmap to 5G broadband from space but with a pivot toward the unsexy reliability of Narrowband IoT (NB-IoT). Vijay Krishnan of Skylo pointed to the 13 million devices already on their network as proof that the dam has in some ways already burst for low-bandwidth messaging and asset tracking.

But for the blue ocean consumer who wants to watch Netflix in the middle of the Pacific? That ship hasn’t just sailed; it likely never existed.

As the panelists left the stage, Farrar offered a final, sarcastic reality check regarding the seamless roaming that billionaires like Elon Musk have promised. When Noer suggested that roaming partners were just a marketing term that needed to be solved technically, Farrar didn’t miss the beat.

“I’ll let you go and tell Elon Musk that tomorrow then,” Farrar deadpanned.

The laughter in the room was genuine, but it was the nervous laughter of an industry realizing that the laws of physics, unlike the FCC, cannot be lobbied.

Filed Under: News

Silicon Valley to Aerospace: Code is the New Steel

February 11, 2026 by editorial

By Abbey White, Staff Writer, SatNews

Dispatch from SmallSat Symposium. Coverage and analysis from across the conference, tracking the forces shaping the next phase of the SmallSat market.

MOUNTAIN VIEW. Rockets still make a lot of noise, but the revolution visible at the SmallSat Symposium moves silently, digitally, and at the speed of code. For decades “metal benders”—those massive aerospace conglomerates that first weld titanium and then figure out the flight computer—have defined the space industry. That era is officially obsolete.

During a riveting Fireside Chat between Milbank partner Dara Panahy and Victoria Coleman of the Berkeley Space Center, the industry received a new engineering manifesto. The breakthrough isn’t a new propulsion system or a lighter alloy but a fundamental inversion of a design process that no longer builds hardware that happens to have software but instead deploys orbiting servers wrapped in solar panels.

The Software-First Paradigm

Coleman, an innovation veteran whose career spans the Air Force, DARPA, and Intel, pinpointed exactly why Silicon Valley is overtaking the traditional defense base. The secret sauce isn’t just capital; it is the mindset of the software engineer applied to the unforgiving physics of space.

“In the Valley here, what we’re going to build is a hub for new space tech,” Coleman declared. “Where we build the software first and put metal around it, versus the other way around, which is what’s being done by our colleagues in Southern California. I think there is magic in that.”

This is the transformation Panahy asked for, a radical shift allowing for iteration speeds previously thought impossible in aerospace. By prioritizing software-defined architectures, companies can update capabilities on orbit, patch vulnerabilities in real time, and integrate AI-driven decision-making at the edge. It creates the difference between a flip phone and an iPhone: one is a static tool, the other an evolving platform.

Solving the Speed Limit

This engineering philosophy is the only reason the Pentagon’s ambitious Golden Dome missile defense architecture has a fighting chance. Research briefings reveal a staggering $175 billion earmarked for missile defense over the next three years. Yet money alone can’t buy speed. The traditional acquisition cycle, often taking ten years to deliver a perfect satellite, is incompatible with the modern threat environment.

The solution is the unapologetically commercial approach pioneered by the Space Development Agency (SDA) and championed by Coleman. Instead of bespoke Ferraris, the industry is building reliable, software-driven Fords capable of deployment in swarms.

“The SDA was first and foremost unapologetically commercial,” Coleman noted.

This technical breakthrough—specifically, the ability to proliferate rapid commercial-grade hardware—is solving the industry’s biggest bottleneck: resilience. By leveraging the speed of commercial innovation, the US is finally building an architecture that can survive a punch. The Golden Dome isn’t just a shield. It is a distributed network of commercial innovation plugged directly into national defense.

The Reactor Core

To make this vision operational, the industry is building a physical engine. The Berkeley Space Center, a $2 billion collaboration between UC-Berkeley and NASA Ames, represents the engineering puzzle’s final piece: “the collision space.”

Innovation doesn’t happen in a vacuum. It happens when you crash a doctoral student in AI into a startup founder and a Space Force procurement officer. Coleman described the center not just as a campus but as a translation layer designed to bridge the gap between cool tech and mission utility.

“We bring the students, we bring the faculty, we bring the startups, we bring the established companies,” Coleman explained.

This ecosystem approach is designed to bypass the infamous Valley of Death not by throwing money at the problem but by ensuring that technology is hardened, relevant, and integrated from day one. It creates a feedback loop where academic brilliance is immediately tested against commercial reality.

The Future is Bright (and Fast)

The mood in Mountain View is electric. The old guard’s monopoly on status quo operations has been shattered by a new generation that views a satellite as just another node in a network. Hardware is getting cheaper, software is getting smarter, and the innovation Coleman predicted is already visible on the show floor.

The industry is moving toward a future with “a little bit more coherence” and limitless potential, Panahy concluded. The sky is no longer the limit. The sky is just the next server room, to which Silicon Valley for the first time holds the keys to the door.

Filed Under: News

From Sandbox to Shield: The SmallSat Industry Grows Up

February 10, 2026 by editorial

By Abbey White, Staff Writer, SatNews

Dispatch from SmallSat Symposium. Coverage and analysis from across the conference, tracking the forces shaping the next phase of the SmallSat market.

From Sandbox to Shield: The SmallSat Industry Grows Up

MOUNTAIN VIEW. If the mood at past SmallSat Symposiums was defined by exuberant experimentation, this year feels different. The energy has not vanished, but it has matured. During the session Engineering the Future Spacecraft, a clear signal emerged from the noise: the industry is graduating. Focus has shifted from the novelty of New Space to the serious, high-stakes business of national infrastructure and defense.

The practice of launching science projects to see what sticks is fading. In its place rises a drive for reliability, scale, and sovereign capability. As Peter Krauss, CEO of Terran Orbital, noted, “The days of flying things that are TRL 0… are over.”

The Bar Has Been Raised

This transition is not about shutting out innovation but professionalizing it. The customers driving the market today, primarily major defense primes and government agencies, demand a rigor that early startups often overlooked.

Krauss illustrated this shift by describing the industry’s talent gap. “You’re interviewing a 25-year-old, you want them to have a master’s degree and 10 years of work experience,” he said. His humorous exaggeration underscored a serious point regarding the expectation for day-one competence. Jan Smolders of Space Inventor captured this evolution perfectly, arguing, “It’s not a tech market anymore. It’s a delivery market.”

Engineering hurdles are no longer about just making something work in a vacuum. They are about manufacturing a product repeatedly, reliably, on time. The Golden Dome missile defense initiative referenced in the research serves as prime example, demanding an industrial base capable of churning out assets at a pace that boutique manufacturing simply cannot match.

Sovereignty Over Hype

While the conference floor still buzzes with talk of orbital data centers and edge computing, the panelists brought the conversation back to geopolitical realities. When asked about near-term value drivers, Rusty Thomas, CEO of EnduroSat USA, steered the room away from speculation, stating, “What’s not going to unlock value in the next three years for any of us is data centers in space.”

Instead, Thomas highlighted the urgent need for resilient communications in an unstable world. “Sovereigns who want to have a resilient communication capability—countries in the Pacific who might get their cable undersea cables cut on a bad day—are still going to need to talk,” he explained. As global supply chains fracture, the ability to control one’s own communications infrastructure is becoming a critical asset.

The Integration Debate

As the industry scales to meet these defense and sovereign needs, a debate is forming around the best path forward. Tina Ghataore of Aerospacelab described a vertical approach born from the need to secure a fragile supply chain. “We’ve had to pay for the roadmap,” she noted, explaining her company’s move to bring component manufacturing in-house.

In contrast, Rusty Thomas advocated for a model where customers leverage existing buses rather than building from scratch. He argued against past inefficiencies, suggesting that “companies don’t need to spend $10-20 billion” to build a constellation when the infrastructure already exists.

A New Era of Seriousness

The mood in Mountain View is not pessimistic but pragmatic. The industry is moving away from the move-fast-and-break-things era and entering a phase of industrial resilience.

The Strategic Edge is no longer just about having the most advanced sensor. It requires a supply chain that can survive geopolitical friction and a production line that can deliver at volume. The romance of the early days has not disappeared, but it has been replaced by the satisfaction of building something that truly works and matters on a global scale.

Filed Under: News

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